The basic Ukrainian problem is that their military is still
closely linked with the "Red Army" (the armed forces of the Russia.)
Nearly all Ukrainian military equipment and weapons are Russian. Before,
and after, 1991, a large portion of the Ukrainian export market was
driven by factories that manufactured Russian designed weapons.
Ironically, for the last 20 years, the Ukrainian weapons industry has
prospered, even though the Ukrainian military could not afford to buy
most of these newly built weapons. But export customers could.Ukraine is
increasing its annual defense spending 30 percent this year. The $2
billion budget is 1.1 percent of GDP. It has been .8 percent of GDP for
the past few years. The average for East European nations is about 1.3
percent. The Ukrainian armed forces are in need of updating, but a
shortage of cash has delayed this process for two decades. Ukraine will
be upgrading existing weapons and buying new warships and combat
aircraft. Ukraine has sold over $2 billion worth of weapons to Iraq.
Most of these were of Russian design, which many Iraqi military
personnel are familiar with. Ukraine has, and still manufactures, lots
of Russian designed weapons.
Unlike Russia, Ukraine doesn't have oil and gas exports to
finance rebuilding of their armed forces. Ukraine spends barely enough
to keep its force of 156,000 active duty troops going. Because it uses
conscription, it could quickly mobilize over half a million more troops,
who are equipped with even more ancient and decrepit gear.
Ukraine split from the Soviet Union (and Russia) in 1991
when the Soviet Union was dissolved. Many Soviet weapons plants were in
Ukraine, as well as huge quantities of military equipment. That's
because Ukraine was the forward staging area for Soviet forces that were
to invade Western Europe, or defend against NATO. Ukraine inherited
whatever was on its territory when the dissolution took place. Ukraine
has kept some of those weapons plants going by becoming the low-cost
provider of new Russian designed weapons (and now much of those have
been updated by Ukrainian engineers.)
While friendly with the United States, Ukraine has also
cultivated good relations with China, by quietly sending the Chinese
examples of advanced Soviet weapons (including some that never went into
mass production). Ukraine wants to be on good terms with the U.S. and
China because of the fear that Russian will try to make Ukraine, once
more, part of Russia. This first happened in the 17th century, and the
Ukrainians never got used to it. Actually, Ukraine had been dismembered
before that by Poles, Lithuanians and Mongols. Thus Ukraine is enjoying
its first period of real independence in over 500 years. They want to
keep it that way.
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