Kenyan forces inside Somalia
have noted al Shabaab sharply declining in numbers and lethality. In the
last week, Kenyan troops took control of several towns (Fafadun and
Eladeand) that al Shabaab withdrew from without much of a fight. It is
believed that al Shabaab moved forces from the Kenyan border in order to
retake the larger town of Baladwayne to the north. Baladwayne was taken
with the help of Ethiopian troops, which al Shabaab finds particularly
humiliating. Now al Shabaab is concentrating forces outside Baladwayne
for what appears to be a counterattack. Al Shabaab is also waging a
propaganda offensive, using twitter and slickly produced videos to
portray themselves as victims of various foreign plots to destroy
virtuous Somali Moslems (al Qaeda) as part of a Western war on Islam.
Meanwhile, al Shabaab continues to become less popular among Somalis.
The Islamic terror group is also having a hard time recruiting, and has
been caught enticing kids as young as ten to take a gun and join the
fighting.
Al Shabaab has established an armed presence in the refugee
camps of eastern Kenya. The al Shabaab gunmen have been terrorizing
Somali leaders in the camps (causing some of these men to flee the
camps) and also attacking Kenyan security forces that guard the camps
(from bandits, especially Somali ones.)
January 8, 2012: Kenyan air strikes on al Shabaab bases near
the Kenyan border have killed over fifty al Shabaab gunmen and
destroying several vehicles armed with heavy machine-guns.
January 7, 2012: Kenyan troops in Somalia are now officially
part of the AU (African Union) Somalia peacekeeping force. This will
save Kenya a lot of money, as peacekeepers receive lots of cash and
material support from donor (mainly the U.S. and other Western nations,
but also China).
Ethiopia will withdraw its forces from Somalia (particularly
the recently captured town of Baladwayne), and be replaced by AU
(African Union) peacekeepers. Ethiopian troops entered Somalia in 2006
and helped keep Islamic radicals out of Mogadishu for three years,
before withdrawing to Ethiopia. They moved in again in late 2011.
Off the coast, a Danish warship identified and seized a
seagoing fishing boat that was being used as a mother ship for pirates.
The 14 fishermen on board were freed and 25 pirates arrested. This is a
common occurrence, as the pirates need the ocean going fishing boats to
get out where less well guarded merchant ships are. The fishing boats
also provide some cover, although, as this case demonstrated, warship
crews are now trained to spot a captured fishing boat.
January 6, 2012: an American warship came across an Iranian
fishing boat 280 kilometers southeast of Oman and determined that the
crew of 12 was being held captive by 15 Somali pirates. The pirates
surrendered and the Iranians were checked over by medical personnel,
given food and fuel, and sent on their way.
January 5, 2012: In Mogadishu, a group of al Shabaab gunmen
got into a battle with peacekeepers and government troops, leaving at
least twelve civilians dead.
In Kenya, police found bomb making equipment in a refugee
camp for Somalis. Al Shabaab has been increasingly active in the camps,
which hold nearly half a million Somalis fleeing famine and violence in
Somalia.
The AU asked the UN to authorize the Somali peacekeeping
force be increased from 12,000 to 17,700. The AU believes that al
Shabaab is growing weak and can be wiped out with the addition of more
peacekeepers. There still remains the problem of divisions within the
TNG (Transitional National Government), which has seen several brawls in
the TNG parliament, as factions fight, literally, over who shall run
parliament. The TNG is also incredibly corrupt, despite demands from
foreign donors that the stealing stop.
Britain warned its citizens to stay away from northern Kenya
and the Somali border, because of the risk of terrorist activity.
January 2, 2012: In Mogadishu there was another brawl in
parliament as members fought with fists and furniture because of a
dispute over who should be the leaders of parliament. Three members of
parliament were hospitalized after the fight. This is the third time in
the last month that this kind of violence has broken out in parliament.
December 31, 2011: Kenyan police killed three al Shabaab
Islamic terrorists on the Somali border and arrested three others. The
Somalis were trying to sneak into Kenya to carry out terror attacks
during New Year's celebrations. The six men had tried to enter Kenya via
the sea, but the navy spotted their boat and the six men went ashore
the day before and tried to cross the border on foot. Police reported
that they had detected and prevented similar attempts to launch attacks
during Christmas (December 25) celebrations. However, someone did toss a
grenade into a bar in eastern Kenya today, and opened fire as well,
killing five people. Al Shabaab was believed responsible.
In central Somalia, Ethiopian and TNG troops captured the
town of Baladwayne, near the Ethiopian border. This key town has been
held by al Shabaab for over three years. Four years ago, al Shabaab
raided the town and killed four foreign teachers (two Britons and two
Kenyans.) The Islamic radicals are particularly hostile to non-religious
education. The two Britons were Somalis who had migrated to Britain,
gotten an education, and returned to establish a school. One of the dead
teachers had converted to Christianity, and such conversions are
punished by death by Islamic radicals. Al Shabaab sees the loss of
Baladwayne as a major defeat.
December 30, 2011: In Puntland, clan elders have publicly
blamed al Shabaab for the murder of an Islamic scholar earlier in the
month. This is the first time this has happened.
In Mogadishu, gunmen shot dead two foreign aid workers. The
attackers were believed to be al Shabaab.
December 28, 2011: In the south, al Shabaab fought Kenyan
troops and TNG gunmen, leaving ten dead. The Kenyan forces were
supported by fighter-bomber attacks on the terrorists.
December 27, 2011: Somali pirates seized an Italian cargo
ship, and its crew of 18, off the coast of Oman.
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