The head of the Kremlin’s Security Council, Nikolai Patrushev, has told the Interfax news
agency Russia fears Israel will push the United States into attacking
Iran. “There is a likelihood of military escalation of the conflict,
towards which Israel is pushing the Americans,” said Patrushev, a
Vladimir Putin confidant. “It cannot be ruled out that the Iranians will be able to carry out
their threat to shut exports of Saudi oil through the Strait of Hormuz
if faced with military actions against them.”
A Harvard and MIT study conducted in 2008 stated that
Iran has significant littoral warfare capabilities, including mines,
antiship cruise missiles, and land-based air defense. It would be able
to close down the Strait of Hormuz for a month or more and inflict
significant economic damage. A closure would result in Brent crude prices spiking to between $150 to $200 per barrel and
would trigger the release of strategic IEA reserves.
Patrushev said the United States is using Iran’s nuclear program as a
pretext for regime change in the country. “Talk about Iran creating an
atomic bomb by next week we have heard for many years,” he said. Instead
of making sure Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon, the United
States is attempting to overthrow Iran’s leadership using “all available
means” to make the country into “a loyal partner.”
Patrushev also believes the U.S. and NATO will intervene militarily in Syria.
“We are getting information that NATO members and some Persian Gulf
States, operating according to the Libya scenario, intend to move from
indirect intervention in Syrian affairs to direct
military intervention,” he told Russia’s Kommersant newspaper on
Thursday.
“This time it is true that the main strikes forces will not be
provided by France, the UK or Italy, but possibly by neighboring Turkey
which was until recently on good terms with Syria and is a rival of Iran
with immense ambitions,” the former FSB boss said.
No comments:
Post a Comment