The violence
in southwest Pakistan (Baluchistan) doubled last year. In 2011 there
were 711 terrorist/separatist related deaths (542 civilians, 122
security forces and 47 terrorists/separatists) in Baluchistan. In 2010
there were 347 deaths (274 civilians, 59 security forces and 14
terrorists/separatists). Most of the violence is caused by local Baluchi
tribesmen fighting for more autonomy, and a greater share of the
natural gas shipped from the area.
While the capital of Baluchistan (Quetta) is a sanctuary for
the Taliban (even American UAV operations are forbidden and a
sort-of-truce pervades the city), the rest of the province is a
battleground for the security forces and Baluchi rebels. The police have
adopted tactics that involve kidnappings and illegal (and unreported)
arrests, often followed by murdering those taken. The army and police
deny this, but the bodies keep piling up.
There is not much Islamic terrorism in Baluchistan (except
for the Taliban forces operating out of Quetta). Most of the fighting is
over more benefits for the local Baluchis. The largely Pushtun Taliban
stay out of it. The Pushtun and Baluchis are ethnic cousins, but have
long avoided large scale conflict with each other. The government has promised reforms, but has not delivered.
As a result, there have been more attacks on the natural gas operations.
There have been 170 such attacks in the last seven years, 30 percent of
them last year. If the Pakistanis don't do something about the poverty
in Baluchistan (the poorest region in the country, with 45 percent
people very poor), the violence and losses to the natural gas industry
will only increase.
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